
4 trends that will shape our generation and our world:
A Lot of Baby Making Music
The human population is now 6.5 billion and will likely crest at 9 or 10 billion. One-and-a-half billion live in the most abject poverty, while another billion live in considerable wealth. One billion suffer from the afflictions of eating too much while others suffer from malnutrition. When I was a graduate student at Penn the ratio of richest to poorest was said to be 35:1. It is now approaching 100:1 and growing. The problem of a more crowded world is not just about what ecologists call carrying capacity of the Earth. It also a problem of justice with more and more people competing for less and less.
No One is Playing Outside
We spend upwards of 95 percent of our time in houses, cars, malls, and offices. We are becoming an indoor species increasingly shut off from sky, land, forests, waters, and animals. Nature, as a result, is becoming more and more an abstraction to us. The problem is most severe for children who now spend up to eight hours each day before a television or computer screen and less and less time outdoors in nature. There is even a term for this, call “nature deficit disorder” — the loss of our sense of rootedness in place and connection to the natural world. In some future time, it is not unreasonable to think that disconnected and rootless, we would might trigger a fundamental change in our reality, which could lead to a spiritual crisis for which there is no precedent.
Peak Oil
A third fact has been particularly difficult for a society built on the foundation of cheap portable fossil fuels to acknowledge. We are at or near the year of peak oil extraction, the point at which we will have consumed the easy and better half of the accessible oil. The other half is harder to refine, farther out, and deeper down, and mostly located in places where people do not like us. We are not likely to run out of oil or liquid fossil fuels from one source or another, but we are nearing the end of the era of cheap oil. We have known this for decades, but we still have no coherent or farsighted energy policy. In the meantime the penalty for procrastination grows daily along with the risks of supply interruptions and volatile energy prices.
A Saturated CO2 Market
Global warming is mainly the result of CO2 levels rising in the Earth’s atmosphere. Both atmospheric CO2 and climate change are accelerating. The current level of all human-generated heat-trapping gases is 385 parts per million CO2. And scientists say that 350 parts per million CO2 in the atmosphere is the safe limit for humanity so, scientifically speaking, this is no good. Also, most experts agree that we have years, not decades, to stabilize CO2 and other greenhouse gases. At this rate, we are not just warming the Earth, but we are on a path to destabilize the entire planet.
In Summation,
One has to do with justice, fairness, and decency in a more crowded world.
The second has to do with the largeness of the human spirit and our capacity to connect to life.
The third has to do with our wisdom and creativity in the face of limits to the biosphere.
The last is about human survival on a hotter and less stable and predictable planet.


















